Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

How do Minaur and Shapovalov compare when it comes to the second serve? In the last six months, Minaur secured 43.81% of points with his second serve, while Shapovalov edged ahead with 45.41%. This subtle difference, though seemingly minor, might have a significant impact on predicting the match outcome given the strong correlation between second serve statistics and match performance predictions.

Moving to their return game statistics, Minaur has managed to win 41.08% of points on his opponent's second serve in recent matches. Shapovalov, however, shows a stronger return game by capturing 44.96% in the same category. When evaluating first serve returns, Minaur leads with 24.02%, slightly surpassing Shapovalov's 23.1%. These numbers can play a crucial role in identifying the favored player in this head-to-head matchup.

Under pressure, how do they perform? Minaur has saved 46.9% of breakpoints when in tight situations, while Shapovalov demonstrates a slightly better composure with a 53.73% save rate. This statistic might offer insights for in-game betting predictions. Looking at their overall performance, Minaur's recent form shows a win rate of 70.15% over the past year, while Shapovalov has won 63.33% of his matches in the same timeframe. This paints a broad picture of their past match outcomes in head-to-head predictions.

Considering their favored surfaces, Minaur shines on grass with a career win percentage of 69%, but finds clay more challenging with only 57% success. In contrast, Shapovalov's strongest surface is indoor hard courts, boasting a 62% win rate, while grass is his weakest with just 50%. These surface preferences will undoubtedly influence their head-to-head dynamics.

Diving into player levels, Minaur has played the majority of his matches on the main tour, achieving a 72% success rate. Shapovalov, in similar circumstances, clinches victories in 71.88% of his matches. While their battle records at the main tour level are insightfully close, Minaur leads in their direct head-to-head encounters with 4 wins out of 5 matches. They have faced off in 13 sets, with Minaur gaining the upper hand in 9.

How do they measure up in extreme pressure? In tiebreaks, Minaur holds a slight advantage, winning 2 out of 3 against Shapovalov. Over the last year, Minaur has faced stiffer competition, with his opponents averaging a rank of 59.96 compared to Shapovalov's 86.87. This could reflect Minaur's ability to stand tall against higher-ranked players.

Lastly, when it comes to converting breakpoints, Minaur showcases a sharper edge with 34.69% conversion in recent form as opposed to Shapovalov's 28.46%. Given all these facets and statistics, will Minaur's historical advantage and sharper stats tilt the prediction in his favor? Likely yes, as previous confrontations and current form suggest he might come out on top once again.